Fresh claims based on changed country conditions in Somalia may rely on Al-Shabaab's 2025-2026 offensive, ATMIS withdrawal, updated CPINs, and EUAA October 2025 country guidance. Expert evidence establishes that conditions have changed materially since the original decision, creating a realistic prospect of success.
Fresh claims may also arise from new personal circumstances including changed clan dynamics, new Al-Shabaab targeting, or deterioration in the appellant's region of origin. Expert witnesses assess whether the new evidence, viewed with previously assessed evidence, creates a realistic prospect of success.
The Home Office may accept some fresh claims without referral to the FTT where expert evidence clearly demonstrates changed conditions. Comprehensive expert reports strengthen both Home Office reconsideration requests and subsequent FTT proceedings.
Frequently Asked Questions
What country changes support a Somalia fresh claim?
Al-Shabaab's renewed offensive through late 2025, ATMIS withdrawal creating a security vacuum, updated July 2025 CPINs, and EUAA October 2025 country guidance on actors of protection all represent material changes since many original Somalia decisions were made.
How does expert evidence support fresh claim submissions?
Expert reports document changed country conditions with verifiable sources, explain how changes affect the specific appellant's profile, and demonstrate a realistic prospect of success if the claim were heard afresh. This satisfies the TK (Zimbabwe) test for fresh claims.